Bracketology Update 1/31/20

1	Kansas	Baylor	Seton Hall	San Diego St.
2	Gonzaga	Butler	Dayton	Maryland
3	West Virginia	Oregon	Villanova	Duke
4	Michigan St.	Penn St.	LSU	Louisville
5	Iowa	Creighton	Arizona	Florida St.
6	Marquette	Illinois	Kentucky	Auburn
7	Ohio St.	Wisconsin	USC	Colorado
8	Houston	Michigan	Rutgers	BYU
9	Indiana	Oklahoma	Texas Tech	Wichita St.
10	Saint Mary’s	Florida	Arkansas	VCU
11	Minnesota	Purdue	Northern Iowa	Georgetown/Rhode Island
12	Texas/Memphis	Yale	Stephen F. Austin	UNC Greensboro
13	Liberty	Akron	North Texas	Vermont
14	Wright St.	Colgate	Winthrop	New Mexico St.
15	Little Rock	Murray St.	Northern Colorado	South Dakota St.
16	William & Mary	UC Irvine	Monmouth/Prairie View A&M	Robert Morris/Norfolk St.

Number 1 Seeds: Kansas, Baylor, Seton Hall, San Diego St.
Lurking: Gonzaga, Butler

Last 4 Byes: Arkansas, VCU, Minnesota, Purdue
Last 4 In: Georgetown, Rhode Island, Texas, Memphis
First 4 Out: Stanford, Xavier, Virginia, Syracuse
Next 4 Out: Arizona St., Utah St., Mississippi St., Tennessee

Multi Bid Conferences:
B1G (12)
BE (6)
B12 (6)
SEC (5)
P12 (4)
ACC (3)
WCC (3)
A10 (3)
AAC (3)

Bracket Thoughts:
The top of the bracket is starting to sort itself out. As potential contenders lose, it has pared down the list of potential #1 seeds. West Virginia losing to Texas Tech was the latest victim.

The bottom of the bracket is quite the opposite. I am struggling to find teams that I feel good about including in the bracket, so despite poor overall records, teams like Minnesota and Purdue find themselves in the last 4 byes as other bubble teams have lost recently and don’t have the quality wins of these squads.

Arizona has been one of the teams that I have been furthest from consensus on. I recently had them as a 10 seed, but they find themselves all the way up to a 5 today. This is the result of the shifting quads. Arizona previously was winless in Q1 games, but as their resume stands today, they are 3-4 due to shifting ranks. That’s good enough to move them up the board significantly given their superior computer metrics.